The future of European payments: Strategic choices for banks November 24, 2020 – A joint report from McKinsey and the Euro Banking Association examines the options for banks in a changing landscape. McKinsey Insights, well-respected financial industry trade magazine, releases damning blockchain report: "The bottom line is that despite billions of dollars of investment, and nearly as many headlines, evidence for a practical scalable use for blockchain is thin on the ground." McKinsey’s annual global banking review reveals that almost 60% of banks are not generating the cost of capital/trading below book. McKinsey Report… US Financial Services Industry 2020‑2024 . McKinsey earnt £560,000 for giving ‘vision’ to new English pandemic body Health department sought report from consultancy on options for running coronavirus programme The rate of Asia–Pacific payments growth continued to moderate from its double-digit rates of a few years ago, given margin compression on current-account balances across the region and China’s GDP expansion receding to a more sustainable rate. © Copyright 2020 Verdict, a trading division of Progressive Digital Media Ltd. McKinsey’s global banking annual report highlights industry struggle, October 22, 2019 (Last Updated October 22nd, 2019 11:58). For specialists and fee-based revenues, much will depend on differences in spend patterns (for both businesses and consumers) before and after the crisis. In the United Kingdom, as payment speed becomes more important, consumers and businesses have increasingly opted to settle bills online. Mckinsey Fast Facts. Consequently, all forms of electronic peer-to-peer and consumer-to-business payments have been boosted. “However, there are steps every bank can take today to change their fortunes and begin the next cycle on a stronger footing, but time is running out. Recession Risk Determine whether Mckinsey grew or shrank during the last recession. Economies are becoming increasingly dependent on digital technology, bringing ... 2019 State of the Industry Report on Mobile Money. Welcome to the tenth edition of McKinsey’s Global Banking Annual Review, which provides a range of possible answers to that question for the global banking industry—some of which are perhaps surprisingly hopeful. The report points to Amazon.com Inc. in the U.S. and Ping An in China as examples of technology firms that are capturing financial-services customers. Unlike many past shocks, the COVID-19 crisis is not a banking crisis; it is a crisis of the real economy. Earlier today consulting behemoth McKinsey released a 2020 report … There is no substitute for knowing an industry inside and out. Learn about “Retail payment: May 2020,” Reserve Bank of Australia, July 7, 2020, rba.gov.au. 4. Chapter 3: Supply-chain finance: A case of convergent evolution? Created in partnership with McKinsey & Company, the report anticipates that, due to the pandemic, companies will post a 90 percent drop in profit by … Please use UP and DOWN arrow keys to review autocomplete results. In Latin America, which is characterized by a significant unbanked population, cash usage will likely remain resilient. By industry, respondents in automotive and assembly and healthcare and pharma are the most likely to say their companies have increased investment. McKinsey suggests the banking industry is approaching the end of the current economic cycle in less-than-ideal health. Given where many players in the banking industry are today, a serious downturn could be catastrophic for many. Fareeha Ali, “Charts: How the coronavirus is changing ecommerce,” Digital Commerce 360, August 25, 2020, digitalcommerce360.com. Still, the current global context removes many of the long-standing impediments to embracing transformation. McKinsey Insights - Get our latest thinking on your iPhone, iPad, or Android device. Considering credit cards are the largest source of the region’s payments revenue, at roughly 44 percent, the decline in outstanding balances alone will outweigh the benefits of increased use of digital channels. Fareeha Ali, “Charts: How the coronavirus is changing ecommerce,” Digital Commerce 360, August 25, 2020, digitalcommerce360.com. Given the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on the operating environment, we are diverging from our usual approach of delivering perspectives on the current year’s global payments landscape relative to the prior year. Press enter to select and open the results on a new page. The health of the retail wealth management industry remains robust We use cookies essential for this site to function well. Transaction-fee margins on remaining volume also declined, because of waivers offered to stimulate demand to offset the impact of a reduction in leisure and business travel flows, which fell by more than 70 percent. A recent report from McKinsey on the global banking industry addressed the threat banks face from technology firms. McKinsey report says sector taking insufficient action to tackle ... Retail & Consumer industry. Long-term forecasting is unusually difficult in the current global environment, given the looming uncertainty on multiple fronts: economic recovery, interest rates, global trade, and a murky time frame for public-health breakthroughs. At the moment, the industry is facing rapid digital transformation with banks regularly undergoing technological changes to boost productivity. McKinsey’s report last week, drawing on public data and insights from market participants, said headcount was relatively stable at big investment banks this year as client activity surged and firms committed to maintaining their workforce during the pandemic. Without giving up an entire weekend to a thorough analysis, the report recommendations (numbering some 160 core initiatives in total), in brief centre on improving the gross mismanagement and developing the five sectors identified as carrying the greatest potential to jump-start the economy, namely; Agriculture, Industry, Tourism, Financial Services and the Knowledge Economy. At slightly over a quarter of the overall pool, North America remains the second-largest contributor to global revenues and grew at par with global trends. By industry, respondents in automotive and assembly and healthcare and pharma are the most likely to say their companies have increased investment. Each region posted solid mid-single-digit growth in payments, led by Latin America at 6 percent. But more recently, many in the financial industry have faced a less certain employment outlook. Logically, given the steep reduction of in-person purchases, cash transactions and ATM usage declined—the latter after an initial wave of withdrawals by anxious consumers. Please click "Accept" to help us improve its usefulness with additional cookies. There are indications that the economic situation will worsen in the coming period. Something went wrong. Drops in interregional flows for Asia (−13 percent), Europe (−20 percent), and the United States (−23 percent) directly cut into cross-border payments volumes, while the prices of oil and other commodities fell sharply. McKinsey put out a report advising the restaurant industry how it might survive or thrive in the “next normal.” Noting that the pandemic has most severely impacted restaurants in urban areas, the authors outlined nine possible scenarios for the restaurant sector’s recovery, which included anonymous input from 2,000 global executives on which scenarios they feel […] The report also warns that the bottom third of banks face disappearing if they do not reinvent their business models. Chapter 2: Merchant acquiring: The rise of merchant services In July last year, the global management firm McKinsey & Company delivered a 1,000-plus page macroeconomic report to the government of Lebanon, with a focus on short-term economic gains to steady a faltering local econom, which has been consistently hampered by drawn-out political instability and a chronically high debt to GDP ratio. McKinsey’s annual global banking review reveals that almost 60% of banks are not generating the cost of capital/trading below book. By the end of 2020, we expect a shift of four to five percentage points in the share of global payment transactions executed via cash—down from 69 percent in 2019—propelled by evolving behavior in both mature and emerging markets (Exhibit 2). We estimate that up to 57 million US jobs are now vulnerable, including more white-collar jobs. Chapter 4: A burning platform: Revamping bank operating models for payments Please try again later. The pandemic has accelerated the move from physical to virtual banking. In Australia, for example, credit-card share among total card spending fell by five percentage points between February and June 2020, in favor of debit cards. However, understanding the factors that distinguish between the world’s highest and lowest performing players is crucial. Cross-border payments flows also have been severely affected by the pandemic, as well as by geopolitical dynamics. Join 6,000+ consultants, corporate managers, MBAs and smart eclectic people – learn consulting in a casual and fun way. The industries with … For more, please read the McKinsey Global Institute article “COVID-19 and jobs: Monitoring the US impact on people and places.” Overall, the greatest recovery opportunities reside in countries with low electronic penetration (such as Brazil, India, Indonesia, and Thailand), as the next normal provides impetus for electronification. Also, McKinsey, Bain, BCG report tear downs. Chapter 1: The accelerating winds of change in global payments If that issue is addressed properly, the global impact on payments could be significantly more positive than the outlook for GDP (see sidebar “The relationship between GDP and payments revenue”). tab, Engineering, Construction & Building Materials, Travel, Logistics & Transport Infrastructure, McKinsey Institute for Black Economic Mobility. Most transformations fail. The reduced use of cash benefits banks overall: the cost of cash handling exceeds cash-related revenue inflows, and electronic payments generate incremental revenue. Discretionary spending initially sank by 40 percent globally. UPS and PayPal, for example, reported double-digit growth on cross-border shipment volumes and the value of merchandise sold. In addition, explore new articles on digitization, marketing, and analytics, across industries such as consumer goods, financial services, and tech. Chapter 5: Closing the gap: Matching attackers on B2B sales for SMEs. Any stability was quickly disrupted in early 2020 by changing geopolitics coupled with reactions to the COVID-19 pandemic, both public (physical-distancing measures and limits on business activity) and private (anticipatory and causal shifts in consumer and commercial behaviors). Industry analysis & Market Report on McKinsey & Company, Inc. is a syndicated market report, published as McKinsey & Company, Inc. - Strategy, SWOT and Corporate Finance Report. Compare how recession-proof Mckinsey is relative to the industry overall. Last month, McKinsey informed the commission that it … 2 2. The relative contributions to global revenues of Asia–Pacific; Eastern Europe, the Middle East, and Africa (EMEA); Latin America; and North America remained consistent in 2019. MGI’s mission is to help leaders in the commercial, public, and social sectors develop a deeper understanding of the evolution of the global economy and to provide a fact base that contributes to decision making on critical management and policy issues. “Payments and cash withdrawals,” Swiss National Bank, data.snb.ch, September 21, 2020, data.snb.ch. As we indicated, not all players, countries, and products will arrive at the same end state (see sidebar “A regional overview of the year in payments”). At the same time, governments have tried to protect the economy as a whole and the well-being of companies as well as citizens. This puts all actors on the payments landscape under pressure to transform and adapt in order to preserve their positions and results. In addition to the financial fallout, COVID-19 is reshaping the global banking industry on a number of dimensions, ushering in a new competitive landscape, stifling growth in some traditional product areas, prompting a new wave of innovation, recasting the role of branches, and of course, accelerating digitization in almost every sphere of banking and capital markets. mostly at the expense of cash. The report from McKinsey identifies four categories, which banks around the world could be put into. Final 3R information for the individual market for 2014 was released on November 19, 2015. Despite a reduction in fee margins per transaction globally (to $0.89 per transaction, from an average of $0.97, for electronic payments), these additional volumes propelled overall fee-based revenues from electronic payments to new highs (a 9.75 percent increase in fee income for all products except cash and checks). Select topics and stay current with our latest insights, Accelerating winds of change in global payments. The health of the retail wealth management industry remains robust. Please click "Accept" to help us improve its usefulness with additional cookies. In 2019, payments revenues grew at 5 percent, roughly one time the GDP growth rate, mainly resulting from contraction in NIMs. cookies, McKinsey_Website_Accessibility@mckinsey.com, nine macroeconomic scenarios for the impact of the COVID-19 crisis, Chapter 1: The accelerating winds of change in global payments, Chapter 2: Merchant acquiring: The rise of merchant services. According to new research, the banking industry is struggling as it approaches the end of the current economic cycle. Please email us at: A regional overview of the year in payments, The relationship between GDP and payments revenue. In North America, the revenue benefit from an accelerated shift to digital channels has been more than offset by credit-card economics—outstanding balances are down roughly 29 percent from 2019 levels, and increased delinquencies are a possibility. However, according to McKinsey, the stability of the payment sector will play a vital role in … Chapter 4: A burning platform: Revamping bank operating models for payments, Chapter 5: Closing the gap: Matching attackers on B2B sales for SMEs. Deloitte US | Audit, Consulting, Advisory, and Tax Services More than half the players in the global banking sector aren't generating enough returns and should quickly reinvent themselves, according to a report from consulting firm McKinsey. Based on our analysis, the largest subscription e-commerce companies generated $7.5 billion in sales in 2018, up about 30 percent over the prior year. 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